Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.095692 0.110842 0.127400 0.146812 0.168916 0.193272 0.222112
2024-12-22 0.069631 0.088837 0.111707 0.140831 0.176813 0.219676 0.274465
2024-12-29 0.057061 0.079222 0.107646 0.146507 0.197942 0.263338 0.352375
2025-01-05 0.046410 0.069580 0.101361 0.147651 0.212761 0.300383 0.426370
2025-01-12 0.037121 0.059775 0.092835 0.143857 0.219682 0.327051 0.489098
2025-01-19 0.030583 0.052597 0.086595 0.141891 0.228232 0.356159 0.557683
2025-01-26 0.027517 0.050156 0.086902 0.149464 0.251406 0.408430 0.664976
2025-02-02 0.024816 0.047765 0.086786 0.156089 0.273534 0.460965 0.777492
2025-02-09 0.020735 0.042202 0.080469 0.151406 0.276450 0.483194 0.843995
2025-02-16 0.017893 0.038372 0.076520 0.150090 0.284551 0.514157 0.926987
2025-02-23 0.015201 0.034328 0.071533 0.146113 0.287291 0.535996 0.996156
2025-03-02 0.012998 0.030860 0.067086 0.142445 0.289948 0.557577 1.066303
2025-03-09 0.011699 0.029129 0.065898 0.145091 0.305010 0.603220 1.184391
2025-03-16 0.009959 0.026091 0.061580 0.140884 0.306371 0.623941 1.259155
2025-03-23 0.009333 0.025527 0.062438 0.147502 0.329936 0.688455 1.421160
2025-03-30 0.008407 0.024058 0.061073 0.149154 0.343474 0.734805 1.552374
2025-04-06 0.007264 0.021809 0.057572 0.145583 0.345558 0.758639 1.641540
2025-04-13 0.006383 0.020067 0.054991 0.143730 0.351066 0.789728 1.747573
2025-04-20 0.006114 0.019965 0.056412 0.151466 0.378649 0.868689 1.957331
2025-04-27 0.005809 0.019702 0.057381 0.158214 0.404645 0.946389 2.170351
2025-05-04 0.005026 0.017847 0.053920 0.153493 0.403436 0.965489 2.261069
2025-05-11 0.004480 0.016606 0.051904 0.152171 0.410117 1.002325 2.392644
2025-05-18 0.003905 0.015137 0.049015 0.148149 0.409728 1.023218 2.490776